BTN Predictions: Week 11 vs. New Mexico
Every dog has its day. Even a blind squirrel finds a nut once in a while. Derek gets a prediction right (close?).
I have predicted blow-outs in pretty much every game this year, and FINALLY I was right. I predicted a 42-23 blowout victory for the Broncos over the Cougars in our last game, and I was correct about the blow-out, and only off by a TD or so on both sides of the score. So
So do I keep on keepin’ on and continue with my ways?
Although the match-up against the Lobos of New Mexico may be screaming blow-out again, until Boise State can put together a dominating performance on the road I am going to have to go with a close game. I have a feeling both teams are going to ground and pound (well, I know UNM will – that is all they know how to do), which will lead to a lower scoring, close game. I am going to say that Boise scores first and that the game is never really in doubt, but due to the style of play we are going to see, the final score will look closer than the game really was. I am going Boise State 31 UNM 17. Of course if it is another blow-out I will be extremely happy!
I’m going to have to go with Derek on this one for two reasons: Like him, Bronco Nation hasn’t put together a complete road game all season and, secondly, it doesn’t matter if the team is home or away but triple option teams are hard to get off of the field. I know, there was a bye week to prepare but unless the team has players that run it as efficiently as New Mexico, the preparation comes up short. That being said, the Lobos’ defense is pitiful. Jay Ajayi will have a big game, Grant Hedrick will manage and not throw picks, and Sperbeck/Roh will have a touch down apiece. My prediction: Boise State 45, New Mexico 21.
Today, I am feeling optimistic. Sure, there are valid points up there from my compatriots about option football meaning the game is going to be closer than we think…
The fact remains that the Boys in Blue need to EAT after that last bye week, the coaches will have the guys as prepped as possible to face that offense, and 2012 was the only time in the history of the match-up that the Lobos put more than 20 points on a scoreboard vs. Boise State. I think the guys come out fired up and New Mexico are the ones going to get torched. Boise State wins 55-10.
Does there really have to be bye weeks or even worse, dreaded off-seasons.. I like Boise State. I like football. I like Boise State Football. Since I like those things, I’m entitled to want them infinitely, correct? Therefore I feel as though I deserve Boise State Football every week … forrrrrrever.
The Broncos opponent this week is an under polished New Mexico team that can pack a surprise punch if not careful. The Lobos can run the ball, and do so effectively. They rank 5th in the nation at rushing yards per game (304 YPG). Rather impressive for a team that is ultimately one-dimensional. 74 passing yards per game!!! PER GAME.
With that being said, the only way I see the Broncos allowing the Lobos to stay in this game for 4 quarters and potentially win it; would be another turnover catastrophe similar to the Broncos other two losses.
Thankfully, I do not foresee that, I believe Grant Hedrick has found a groove and will continue to operate with the precision and decision-making he has in the past 4 games (knocks on wood ……. still knocking). The Broncos defense will load the box and stop the run as they have extremely well thus far. If all goes to plan, this will be over early 3rd quarter, but does anything ever go to plan? Broncos 48 Lobos 17
Late to the party so I won’t even try to examine the game. I will just say Boise State 49 New Mexico 24.