BTN Predictions: Week 12 vs. San Diego State


I think it would be safe to bet that NOBODY predicted what was going to happen last week at New Mexico.  I said  that after a season of predicting blow-outs it would be a close game, but that is about all I got right.  This week it is back to Blow-out city for me.

Rocky long says there is no reason to be intimidated by Boise State or The Blue™ and to be fair, he shouldn’t be.  His Aztecs are one of only three teams with an active winning streak against Boise State (Arkansas and WSU are the other two). But the past two Boise State teams were different as we all know, and if Rocky thinks the games are going to go like they did in 2012 and 2013 he is better off playing the University of Washington.  This is a new era of Bronco.  This team needs no more motivation than the past two years, and the way they continue to develop and get better each week every team we play should be a bit nervous.  Harsin’s system is coming together, and on top of that we have not lost on the blue since SDSU in 2012.  There is some special energy in that new football facility, and I have no doubt that they will continue to Protect The Blue. Add in the bitter cold weather that our team has practiced in and we have all the ingredients for a blow-out.  Sorry Rocky, the mystique and intimidation of Boise State and Albertsons stadium is back. This team is  not just going to go HAM on you, this team is going to go full #HAMPanetHoth on you.  Boise State 45 SDSU 17


Last week was pretty fun, wasn’t it? Although the triple option is no joke, I’m sure Rocky Long has spent part of the week installing it at San Diego State.  The Aztecs have a great running back duo and could probably pull it off for a play or two. You know, just to freak Bronco Nation out.  But all jokes aside, despite having two good backs and a great receiver, the quarterback play is what kills the Fightin’ Rockys.  And, since Boise State’s quarterback play has been pretty ok recently, that’s where the difference lies. Grant may not have a monster game like last week but he’ll do well enough to destroy SDSU’s defense which leaves them vulnerable to getting stuck in the way of the Jay Train.  I’m going to say, Boise State 51, SDSU 24. The Blue Turf Monster bites back!


That New Mexico game was a total stunner. Were you not entertained? I was incredibly wrong in my pick for that one, so let’s hope for better luck this time. Look, SDSU is a pretty good team. Not spectacular, but they do have scoreboard on Boise State right now. I believe this game is going to be like the last 2 – coming down to special teams. Last week’s game doesn’t give me a whole lot of confidence about defending a big return especially well, but being at home in the cold in front of a blackout crowd, roaring and stomping on those bleachers seems to give the Broncos a mojo that just isn’t being recreated well on the road. Boise has played through adversity this season and has proven itself to not roll over when things get dicey. I like the odds of Boise getting a defining win on The Blue, but I don’t think it’ll be a blowout. Broncos – 38, SDSU – 31.

Heath right now says at kickoff we will be looking at 18 degree weather. The question is do you believe that it will play a factor in the game? For me, cold won’t change much in a game. It is the wind and precipitation that gets most players. Right now it looks like all is well on that front, the fans will just have to fight frigid temperatures. With that in mind I actually believe Boise State is going to jump on SDSU early and the Aztecs will struggle to keep pace. San Diego State has a solid defense, but this team has been off the charts at home. Jay Ajayi says this game is personal and I believe him. SDSU struggles to throw the ball and it will cause them to not be able to keep up with the Broncos and their intense furious pace I believe they will come out with. Final score, Boise State 42 San Diego State 20.


Brrrr… That is what the San Diego State players will be saying repetitively for 4 quarters Saturday. Weather will no doubt have a factor in this game & i’d like to believe the Broncos have an edge in that department. If it is near 18 degrees at kickoff, like it supposed to be, the Aztecs may reconsider football altogether.

Yet, if this game doesn’t scare you as Broncos fan, you may be teetering on the side of overly optimistic a tad much. Your fear shall not come from the Aztecs team itself; instead, it should come from the situation, the Broncos kryptonite, and November.The Broncos are the upset target each game, here on out. Every opponent, even if inferior will get up to try to beat them, e.x. New Mexico. …. San Diego State has the Broncos number somehow, someway. Losing two years in a row to a single team is unheard of in Bronco Land. The Aztecs will arrive on The Blue with swagger and confidence knowing they are capable of defeating the Broncos. …. November…nothing needs to be said about this atrocious month in regards to Boise State Football…the history speaks for itself.

As usual, if I predict a blowout win, it’ll be nail-bitter; if I predict a tight game, it’ll be a blowout. So… for the sake of my health and not wanting some form of heart disease at 50, I will predict a close game. REVERSE JINX DO YOUR MAGIC.  Boise State 27 San Diego State 21

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